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I completed my PhD in Economics at the School of Economics and Management, University of Porto (FEP), in January 2021. Since February 2022, I have been collaborating with Universidade Lusófona do Porto. Additionally, I have worked at FEP, Porto Business School, and Águeda School of Technology and Management, University of Aveiro. My teaching experience in economics is extensive, encompassing several introductory courses (such as Introduction to Economics, Macroeconomics, and Political Economics) and specialised courses (including Monetary Economics, International Economics, Public Finance, and Regional Economics). I have also delivered economics lectures to diverse audiences, including economic and business students, law students, and executives. A key strength of mine as a professor is my ability to effortlessly demystify complex economic concepts for a broad audience. Consequently, I have regularly appeared in the media (television and newspapers) since 2021 to analyse economic developments. I have authored eleven scientific articles published in international and Portuguese journals. My most cited work, "The Use of Game Theory in Regional Economics: a quantitative retrospective", has received twelve citations and was published in Papers in Regional Science, a leading journal in the field. Leveraging my econometrics expertise, I have contributed to research in other scientific domains (primarily politics, medicine, and sports), resulting in several presentations at international conferences and the publication of eleven scientific articles. In 2014, I co-founded a start-up that utilises machine learning and macroeconometric techniques to predict commodity prices. Filipe Grilo, 14-02-2024
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Identification

Personal identification

Full name
Filipe Grilo

Citation names

  • Grilo, Filipe

Author identifiers

Ciência ID
CD1D-9800-4F65
ORCID iD
0000-0002-6558-7573

Knowledge fields

  • Social Sciences - Economics and Business - Econometrics

Languages

Language Speaking Reading Writing Listening Peer-review
Portuguese (Mother tongue)
English Advanced (C1) Proficiency (C2) Advanced (C1) Proficiency (C2) Advanced (C1)
Education
Degree Classification
2010/09 - 2021/01
Concluded
 Economia (Doutoramento)
Major in Financial Crises
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
"Essays on Financial Crises Dynamics: Contagion and Interaction Effects" (THESIS/DISSERTATION)
 Aprovado
2007/09 - 2010/07
Concluded
 Economia (Licenciatura)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
 A (16)
Affiliation

Science

Category
Host institution 		Employer
2009/01 - 2010/11 Research Trainee (Research) Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal

Teaching in Higher Education

Category
Host institution 		Employer
2022/03 - Current Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade Lusófona do Porto, Portugal
2016 - 2022 Invited Assistant Professor (University Teacher) Universidade do Porto, Portugal

Other Careers

Category
Host institution 		Employer
2015/01 - Current Técnico Superior (Técnico Superior) Watson & Noble, Portugal

Others

Category
Host institution 		Employer
2019/12 - Current Professor/Formador de Economia Universidade do Porto Porto Business School, Portugal
Projects

Contract

Designation Funders
2018/10/01 - 2022/09/30 Corruption and economic crisis, a poisonous combination: understanding process-outcome interactions in the explanation of public support for democracy
PTDC/CPO-CPO/28316/2017
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Ciências Sociais, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2018/10/01 - 2022/09/30 Corrupção e crise económica, uma combinação perigosa: compreender as interacções processo-resultado na explicação do apoio à democracia
PTDC/CPO-CPO/28316/2017
Universidade de Lisboa Instituto de Ciências Sociais, Portugal
 Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
2019/01/01 - 2019/12/31 Centro de Economia e Finanças da Universidade do Porto
UID/ECO/04105/2019
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal

Universidade do Porto Centro de Economia e Finanças, Portugal
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Concluded
Outputs

Publications

Book chapter
  1. Costa, C.; Almeida, L.; Grilo, Filipe; Maia, T.. "Descentralização da saúde nos municípios portugueses e a perceção das Assembleias Municipais". In Municípios e Saúde: Entre as Lições da Covid-19 e os Desafios da Descentralização. Lisboa, Portugal: Almedina, 2023.
  2. Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "Desafios económicos da Europa em 2024". In Spotlight - O Mundo em 2024, 8-10. Portugal: Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, 2023.
    Published
  3. De Sousa, Luís; Costa, Cláudia S.; Grilo, Filipe. "O impacto da COVID-19 na qualidade da democracia local: a perspectiva dos Presidentes das Assembleias Municipais". In Poder local em tempos de covid-19. Portugal: Almedina, 2023.
    Published
  4. Clemente, F.; Grilo, Filipe; de Sousa, L.. "Percepção da Corrupção em Tempos de Pandemia: Breve Análise a Partir do Pré-Teste à População Portuguesa". In Observatório Socioconômico da Covid-19: Perspetivas econômicas e sociais diante da pandemia. São Paulo, Brazil: Paco Editorial, 2022.
    Published
  5. De Sousa, L.; Costa, C.; Grilo, Filipe. "O impacto da COVID-19 na qualidade da democracia local: a perspetiva dos Presiden-tes das Assembleias Municipais". In O Poder Local em Tempos de Covid-19 Vol. I – A Qualidade da Democracia Local e a Governação em Tempos de Covid-19. Lisboa, Portugal: Almedina, 2021.
    Published
Conference abstract
  1. Almeida, Luís Filipe Mota; Maia, Tânia; Costa, Cláudia S.; Grilo, Filipe. "Health decentralization in portuguese municipalities: the perceptions of municipal assembly". Paper presented in 30th APDR - Sustainable Development Challenges of Territories in Contexts of Uncertainties due to External Shocks and Risks, 2023.
    Published
  2. Grilo, Filipe; Brito, P.. "Analyzing Unemployment Data by Symbolic Data Analysis". Paper presented in 2012 SIAM International Conference on Data Mining, Anaheim, 2012.
  3. Grilo, Filipe; Brito, P.; González, P.. "Portuguese labour market under crisis: Analyzing recent unemployment evolution and composition". Paper presented in 33rd Annual Conference of the International Working Party on Labour Market Segmen-tation, Roma, 2012.
Conference paper
  1. Inês Rocha; Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "Does ESG matter in times of Natural Disasters? A case study on US stock market dur-ing the 2017 billion-dollar hurricanes". Paper presented in World Finance Conference, Kristiansand, 2023.
  2. Giovanni Cintra; Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "Not your Fault, but your Responsibility: Worsened Consumer Sentiment on Work-from-Home Products during COVID-19". Paper presented in CARMA 2023, Sevilha, 2023.
  3. Grilo, Filipe; Rocha, M. D.; Jorge, J.. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "A Unified Early Warning System for Banking and Currency Crises: Channels of Crisis Interaction as Leading Indicators". Paper presented in IFABS 2022, Nápoles, 2022.
  4. Jorge, J.; Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Jorge, J.. "Inside the black box: official credit guarantee schemes and how to fight the next pandemic". Paper presented in IFABS 2022, Nápoles, 2022.
  5. Grilo, Filipe; Jorge, J.; Rocha, M. D.. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "The Sovereign-Bank Nexus during the Pressure Buildup of Financial Stress". Paper presented in 15th Annual Meeting of the Portuguese Economic Journal, Angra do Heroísmo, 2022.
  6. Sousa, Luís de; Costa, Cláudia S.; Grilo, Filipe. "Making sense of executive-opposition relations in local governance contexts through the perceptions of local elected representatives". 2021.
Conference poster
  1. Pimenta, Sónia; Samouco, Ana; Almeida, Bárbara; Grilo, Filipe; Moreira, Ana. "Understanding Stigma: A study on mental health related stigma by Portuguese health care professionals". Paper presented in 19th World Psychiatric Association World Congress of Psychiatry, 2019.
  2. Grilo, Filipe; Barros, M.; Caetano, F.; Valido, R.; Caldas, F.; Pires, D.; Faria, R.. "The Place of Long-Acting Injectable Antipsychotics in Treatment of Bipolar Disorder – Are There Advantages? Hospital de Magalhães Lemos Experience". Paper presented in 19th WPA World Congress of Psychiatry, 2019.
  3. Grilo, Filipe; Caetano, F.; Barros, M.; Valido, R.; Araújo, M.; Samouco, A.; Carvalho, S.. "Predicting Rehospitalization in Patients treated with Long-Acting Injectable Antipsychotics". Paper presented in 19th WPA World Congress of Psychiatry, 2019.
  4. Grilo, Filipe; Caetano, F.; Samouco, A.; Araújo, M.; Barros, M.; Carvalho, S.. "Unraveling Predictors of Relapse in Substance Addictions". Paper presented in Lisbon Addictions 2019, 2019.
  5. Grilo, Filipe; Valido, R.; Barros, M.; Caetano, F.; Caldas, F.; Frias, P.; Ferreira, P.. "Concomitant Use of Oral Antipsychotic Drugs among Patients Treated with Long-Acting Antipsychotic Medications in an Outpatient Psychiatric Care Setting". Paper presented in 19th WPA World Congress of Psychiatry, 2019.
Journal article
  1. Cintra, Giovanni; Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "Not your fault, but your responsibility: worsened consumer sentiment on work-from-home products". Journal of Marketing Analytics (2024): http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41270-024-00315-0.
    Published • 10.1057/s41270-024-00315-0
  2. de Sousa, Luís; Costa, Cláudia S.; Grilo, Filipe. "COVID-19 pandemic and local executive-opposition institutional relations: a survey analysis". Local Government Studies (2023): 1-22. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03003930.2022.2158818.
    Published • 10.1080/03003930.2022.2158818
  3. Almeida, Bárbara; Samouco, Ana; Grilo, Filipe; Pimenta, Sónia; Moreira, Ana Maria. "Prescribing stigma in mental disorders: A comparative study of Portuguese psychiatrists and general practitioners". International Journal of Social Psychiatry 68 4 (2021): 708-717. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/00207640211002558.
    Published • 10.1177/00207640211002558
  4. Grilo, Filipe; Samico, Ana; Venâncio, A.; Recalde, C.. "Impulsivity and therapeutic adherence in patients with Substance-Related and Addictive Disorders". Psiquiatria Clínica (2021):
    Accepted
  5. Grilo, Filipe; Fornelos, A.; Almeida, B.; Trindade, R.; Gomes, S.; Santos Pereira, R.; Encarnação, R.. "Caracterização do Declínio Cognitivo Ligeiro num Serviço de Psicogeriatria – Uma Análise Retrospetiva de Dez Anos". Revista de Psiquiatria Consiliar e de Ligação (2021):
    Accepted
  6. Pereira, Tiago; Ribeiro, João; Grilo, Filipe; Barreira, Daniel. "The Golden Index: A classification system for player performance in football attacking plays". Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part P: Journal of Sports Engineering and Technology 233 4 (2019): 467-477. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1754337119851682.
    Published • 10.1177/1754337119851682
  7. Pereira, Tiago; Ribeiro, João; Grilo, Filipe; Barreira, Daniel. "Is Football players’ performance influenced by the quality of opposition? Application of the Golden Index formula in Club Atlético de Madrid 2016/2017". Motriz: Revista de Educação Física 25 1 (2019): http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/s1980-6574201900010022.
    Published • 10.1590/s1980-6574201900010022
  8. Grilo, Filipe; Silva, Sandra; Mota, Isabel. "The Use of Game Theory in Regional Economics: a quantitative retrospective". Papers in Regional Science 94 2 (2015): 421-441. https://rsaiconnect.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/pirs.12066.
    Published • 10.1111/pirs.12066
Magazine article
  1. Grilo, Filipe. "Gestão no Período Pós-Pandemia: Desafios e Oportunidades", NORTE.AR, 2020, https://www.pbs.up.pt/pt/artigos-e-eventos/artigos/nortear-1/.
Newsletter article
  1. Clemente, Felippe; Grilo, Filipe; De Sousa, Luís. "PERCEPTION OF CORRUPTION IN TIMES OF PANDEMIC: BRIEF ANALYSIS FROM THE PORTUGUESE POPULATION PRE-TEST", Text for discussion of the Socio-economic Observatory of COVID-19, a project carried out by the Group of Studies in Public, Economic, and Financial Administration (GEAPEF) of the Federal University of Santa Maria (UFSM) and financed by the Research Support Foundation of the State of Rio Grande do Sul (FAPERGS)., 2021, https://www.osecovid19.cloud.ufsm.br/media/documents/2021/04/15/Textos_para_Discussao_28_-_Percep%C3%A7%C3%A3o_da_corrup%C3%A7%C3%A3o_em_tempos_de_pandemia.pdf.
Newspaper article
  1. Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "Os próximos episódios da telenovela das taxas de juro", Dinheiro Vivo, 2023, https://www.dinheirovivo.pt/opiniao/os-proximos-episodios-da-telenovela-das-taxas-de-juro-17298850.html/.
  2. Grilo, Filipe. "Um aviso holandês ao 1º trimestre português", O Jornal Económico, 2023, https://jornaleconomico.pt/noticias/um-aviso-holandes-ao-1o-trimestre-portugues/.
  3. Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "O alargamento do prazo do PRR: mais uma oportunidade para adiar reformas", Jornal Observador, 2023, https://observador.pt/opiniao/o-alargamento-do-prazo-do-prr-mais-uma-oportunidade-para-adiar-reformas/.
  4. Grilo, Filipe. Corresponding author: Grilo, Filipe. "A cortina de fumo fiscal", Dinheiro Vivo, 2023, https://www.dinheirovivo.pt/opiniao/a-cortina-de-fumo-fiscal-15769023.html.
  5. Grilo, Filipe. "A relação poliamorosa entre banca, Governo e empresas", Jornal Expresso, 2022, https://leitor.expresso.pt/semanario/semanario2615/html/economia/opiniao/a-relacao-poliamorosa-entre-banca-governo-e-empresas.
Online resource
  1. Grilo, Filipe. Teletrabalho e Turismo. 2020. https://sigarra.up.pt/fep/pt/noticias_geral.ver_noticia?p_nr=33869.
  2. Grilo, Filipe. Algumas Notas Sobre o Modelo de Previsão. 2020. https://fjc.pt/algumasnotassobreomeumodelodeprevisaocovid19.
  3. Grilo, Filipe. A Crise do COVID19 e o Impacto Macroeconómico. 2020. https://fjc.pt/crisecovid19eimpactomacroeconomico.
  4. Grilo, Filipe. Impacto da Covid-19 na Economia. 2020. https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?v=695202271231098&ref=watch_permalink.
  5. Grilo, Filipe. Daily forecasts of COVID infections in Portugal. 2020. https://www.facebook.com/filipe.grilo.549.
Report
  1. Grilo, Filipe; Sousa, L. de. 2018. A Qualidade da Democracia Local Vista pelos Presidentes das Assembleias Municipais: Resultados de um Inquérito. http://hdl.handle.net/10451/35335.
  2. Grilo, Filipe. 2012. Estudo de Avaliação das Políticas Ativas de Emprego. http://cite.gov.pt/pt/destaques/complementosDestqs/aval_PAE.pdf.
    Assistant staff
Thesis / Dissertation
  1. Grilo, Filipe. "Essays on Financial Crises Dynamics: Contagion and Interaction Effects". PhD, Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, 2021. https://repositorio-aberto.up.pt/handle/10216/131958.
Activities

Oral presentation

Presentation title Event name
Host (Event location)
2023/11/28 A Doença Holandesa: Turismo, Tecnologia e Crescimento Económico XVI Conferência Anual do Turismo
Delegação Regional da Madeira da Ordem dos Economistas (Funchal, Portugal)
2020/12 Gestão no Futuro Pós-Pandemia: Desafios e Oportunidades Sonae Academy PGG 2020/2021
Universidade do Porto Porto Business School (Porto, Portugal)
2016/02 Real Options in Practice: Contract Design of a Sale & Leaseback Real Options Day
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia (Porto, Portugal)
2012 Portuguese labour market under crisis: Analyzing recent unemployment evolution and composition 33rd Annual Conference of the International Working Party on Labour Market Segmentation
(Roma, Italy)
2012 Analyzing Unemployment Data by Symbolic Data Analysis 2012 SIAM International Conference on Data Mining
(Anaheim, United States)

Supervision

Thesis Title
Role 		Degree Subject (Type)
Institution / Organization
2022/10 - 2023/11/15 Objetivos de Desenvolvimento Sustentável no Município do Porto
Supervisor
 Economia e Administração de Empresas (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2022/07 - 2023/11/10 U.S. (UN)CONVENTIONAL MONETARY POLICY AND PORTFOLIO FLOWS TO EMERGENCY MARKET ECONOMIES
Supervisor
 Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2023/02 - 2023/11/02 Tax structure and economic growth: Do OECD’s policy recommendations still make sense?
Co-supervisor
 Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2022/07 - 2023/10/26 Heterogeneous Transmission of Monetary Policy to Euro Area Financial Markets
Supervisor
 Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2022/07/01 - 2023/07/23 Corporate Social Responsibility and Optimal Capital Structure: A Dynamic Analysis
Supervisor
 Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2023/02/01 - 2023/07/10 A Matter of Minutes: The Unexpected Sentiment in FOMC Meetings and its Impact on Fed Credibility
Supervisor
 Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2021/09 - 2022/10 Does ESG matter in times of Natural Disasters? A case study on U.S. companies during the billion-dollar hurricanes in 2017.
Supervisor of Inês Daniela Sousa e Rocha
 Mestrado em Economia e Administração de Empresas (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2021/07 - 2022/09/14 Does the Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Fiscal Multipliers depend on Public Debt of each Euro Area Country?
Supervisor of Catarina Barbosa Neto
 Mestrado em Economia (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2021/07 - 2022/09/12 Evolution in Consumer Sentiment and Purchase Pattern: a Study on Work from Home Products Purchased during Covid-19
Supervisor of Giovanni Rubbi Cintra
 Mestrado em Marketing (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal

Jury of academic degree

Topic
Role 		Candidate name (Type of degree)
Institution / Organization
2022/10/19 A Influência dos Ciclos Económicos sobre a Distribuição do Rendimento: Uma Análise para Países Desenvolvidos
(Thesis) Main arguer
 Diana Ferreira da Silva (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2022/07/20 Identifying risk determinants of early default on loans: data from a Portuguese banking institution
(Thesis) Main arguer
 Gonçalo Filipe Rocha Teixeira (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2021/10/27 Determinantes de risco das microempresas: Aplicação ao caso português
(Thesis) Main arguer
 Maria Rosalina Silva Fernandes (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal
2021/10/27 Lei de Okun: Uma Abordagem ao Contexto Português
(Thesis) Main arguer
 Salvador Pinheiro Dias Pires de Andrade (Master)
Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Economia, Portugal

Consulting

Activity description Institution / Organization
2015/11 - Current Forecasting of various commodities' prices for various firms Watson & Noble, Portugal
2015/01 - 2017/12 Project Finance Galbilec - Gestão e Coordenação de Projetos, Portugal
2016/01 - 2016/08 Real Options Valuation of a factory investment in Angola for the firm Vieira de Castro Watson & Noble, Portugal
2015/02 - 2015/06 Real Options Valuation of a Sale & Leaseback for the firm Sonae Sierra Watson & Noble, Portugal

Course / Discipline taught

Academic session Degree Subject (Type) Institution / Organization
2019/11 - 2019/11 Economics for Managers Economics for Managers (Pós-Graduação) Universidade do Porto Porto Business School, Portugal

Interview (newspaper / magazine)

Activity description Newspaper / Forum
2023/06 “Pode haver algum receio de instabilidade financeira nos bancos mais pequenos” Diário de Notícias / Jornal de Notícias / Dinheiro Vivo
2020/03 “Não sabemos se poderá haver alguma réplica face a este sismo inicial” - efeitos económicos da crise pandémica em Portugal Notícias ao Minuto
2020/03 “COVID-19: Os números em tempo de pandemia. Filipe Grilo procura na estatística uma âncora para a incerteza” - descrição do modelo econométrico de previsão da evolução dos infetados com COVID em Portugal JPN - JornalismoPortoNet

Interview (tv / radio show)

Program Topic
2022/12 - Current Portugal recebe 2023 com folga orçamental, mas não escapa à recessão
2022/06 - Current O preço do pão não para de subir. A inflação explicada em regueifas

Mentoring / Tutoring

Topic Student name
2018/04 - 2018/09 Tutoria Estatística Tiago Alexandre Pontes Pereira